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JASON COLEMAN

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A structural engineer with a love for tech, politics, science, and culture.
Articles Posted: 8  Links Seeded: 1601
Member Since: 1/2006  Last Seen: 8/04/2011

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Climate Science – Cold Case vs. CSI

Seeded on Wed Feb 14, 2007 12:58 PM EST
Read ArticleArticle Source: realclimate.org
science, climate-change, global-warming, climatology, real-climate
Seeded by Jason Coleman
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Why bring this up here? Well it illustrates nicely how paleo-climate research fits in to our understanding of current changes. Let me explain....

For the last 30 years or so, the amount of information we have about the planet has gone up by a couple of orders of magnitude - mainly due to satellite information on atmospheric (radiation, temperature, humidty, rainfall, cloudiness, composition etc.), ocean surface (temperature, ice cover, windiness) and land properties (land cover, albedo) etc. Below the surface, we are now measuring much more of the ocean changes in heat content and carbon. This data, while still imperfect, has transformed our view of the climate such that the scientists studying it can seriously discuss details of problems that twenty years ago were not even thought of as issues. "CSI - Planet Earth" if you like.

Comparatively, the amount of information we have for any period in the past is less - hundreds (in some cases a few thousand) of records of climate 'proxy' data (i.e. records that are related to climate, such as tree rings ot isotope ratios, but that aren't direct thermometers or rain gauges) that are not necessarily optimally spaced, nor necessarily well-dated, nor uncontaminated by non-climate influences. However, there is the great advantage of a much longer time period to work with, as well as a greater variety of changes to investigate. Think of the people that work on that as the 'Cold Case' crew.

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Jason Coleman

This is a really great post from Dr. Schmidt that helps to explain two of the different physical science methods that help scientists to understand what is causing the observed warming. I think the analogy of the murder investigation really helps to underline some of the fallacies often put forth by contrarians. Also, he provides some great links (in addition to the wealth of links throughout the site) which help to clear the other potential 'suspects,' as well as provide evidence of guilt for the 'accused.' The arguments put forth by skeptics really are nothing more than the defense hoping to cast doubt in the public's mind about what has become a very solid case against man-made greenhouse gases.

This is a really great read and worth everyone's time to understand more about why we can say with very high confidence that man-made emissions are causing the planet to warm.

    Reply#1 - Wed Feb 14, 2007 1:20 PM EST
    Behind My Screen

    If I was on trial for Murder and these contrarians held as skeptical a view of the prosecution's case as they do Global Warming, I would get off with out a problem.

      #1.1 - Wed Feb 14, 2007 2:39 PM EST
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