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JASON COLEMAN

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A structural engineer with a love for tech, politics, science, and culture.
Articles Posted: 8  Links Seeded: 1601
Member Since: 1/2006  Last Seen: 8/04/2011

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Global Warming Link to Hurricane Intensity Questioned

Seeded on Sat Jul 29, 2006 9:17 PM EDT
Read ArticleArticle Source: National Geographic
science, climate-change, global-warming, hurricane, noaa, national-hurricane-center, christopher-landsea
Seeded by Jason Coleman
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An expert with the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is questioning the connection between climate change and the appearance of more intense hurricanes in recent years.

Historical data on hurricanes is too crude to determine long-term trends in intensity, says Christopher Landsea, a science and operations officer with NOAA's National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida.

Extreme hurricanes like Katrina were likely as common around the world 30 years ago as they are today, Landsea says. But since satellite imagery was poorer, storm intensities were underreported.

Landsea is the lead author of a commentary in today's issue of the research journal Science.

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  • Public Discussion (4)
K.Hodge

Someone contradicting the sensational effects of global warming? Either he must work for the Oil companies or sanity has some how infected the climatologist community.

    Reply#1 - Sun Jul 30, 2006 12:29 AM EDT
    Jason Coleman

    Actually, no. And all this study states, per the lead author, is that in their opinions the previous study stating that hurricane strength is increasing was based on possibly flawed data. Essentially, Landsea is just stating that the database on hurricane intensity is flawed and the data needs to be corrected somehow to make a more positive statement.

    No doubt, this will be spun out of control by those who routinely grasp at straws, irregardless of what the paper actually says. Landsea and co-authors conclude that the link between hurricane strength and global warming is likely just not as large as was determined by two previous papers (ref: page two, paragraphs two through four). Sadly, this will be misconstrued to mean that global warming isn't happening at all, that mankind isn't causing it, and that hurricanes are on some cyclical pattern. The paper doesn't say or support any of that, but since when did that stop pundits?

    I always find it odd that supporters of science have a huge stack of small pieces of evidence that add up to be a very solid case, many points independent of one another but that help to complete the picture. The nay-sayers find one shred of evidence they believe supports their argument, take it completely out of context, and believe that it makes their argument gospel. I trust Landsea's research as much as any other accomplished climatologist. The very fact that he (and his co-authors) seems to be so cautionary in what he concludes gives a great deal of that confidence.

      #1.1 - Sun Jul 30, 2006 1:16 AM EDT
      K.Hodge

      :)

        #1.2 - Sun Jul 30, 2006 11:11 PM EDT
        Reply
        Jason Coleman

        Those interested might want to read about a recent letter signed by both Landsea and Curry regarding hurricanes and America's coasts (letter here). They feel that the current bickering over global warming is distracting from a much more imminent hurricane problem. That is the persistent construction to build ever-more in the paths of hurricanes will only go to ensure more and more destruction.

          Reply#2 - Sun Jul 30, 2006 1:26 AM EDT
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